Though head coach Joey McGuire and offensive coordinator Zach Kittley claim not to be a true air-raid team, they would be if they had the right players. When Kittley came to Lubbock from Western Kentucky, he spoke about how he was just interested in getting the best 11 players on the field and that meant his offense would change from his time at WKU.
He wasn’t bluffing, Texas Tech had Tahj Brooks run for 1,541 yards and 10 touchdowns last season and utilized two tight ends. However, Kittley and McGuire are building towards an air-raid offense and Rogers would be the perfect quarterback to run it.
Behren Morton eventually took over at quarterback for the oft-injured Tyler Shough and Morton ended the year with 1,754 passing yards and only averaged 6.0 yards per attempt. Shough is now in Louisville and Morton is QB1 heading into Spring ball.
I'm sure that Kittlely would prefer his offense look more like it did in 2021 at Western Kentucky when Bailey Zappe threw for 5,967 yards, completed 69.7% of his passes, averaged 8.7 yards per attempt, and threw for 62 touchdowns. That type of production may not be possible in the Big 12, but Rogers is the best facsimile for Zappe in college football right now.
Texas Tech may want to ride with the younger Morton to see if he develops, but if the Red Raiders are interested in improving substantially at the most important position on the field after a 7-6 year, then Rogers is the move to make.